NeilHardy132 · Polymarket wallet 0xae4e…d061

Wallet snapshot

NeilHardy132 has made 140 trades on Polymarket across 107 markets, $1,065 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (35%) and economics (29%). On 106 resolved markets the win rate is 80.2%, lifetime P&L +$2. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No · $15 · 30¢ → 30¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes · +$1 · Oct 5, 2026
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?Yes · +$0 · Sep 24, 2026
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?No · +$0 · Sep 18, 2026
• Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Yes · +$0 · Sep 16, 2026
• LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes · +$0 · Sep 10, 2026

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