markbaga · Polymarket wallet 0xad4f…d615

Wallet snapshot

markbaga has made 121 trades on Polymarket across 58 markets, $186 in volume. Most of it is in sports (64%) and geopolitics (21%). On 56 resolved markets the win rate is 75%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?". Last trade: Sep 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 31¢ → 14¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $0 · 18¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes · +$1 · Jul 5, 2026
• Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes · +$2 · Jul 4, 2026
• Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?Yes · +$2 · Jul 4, 2026
• Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes · +$2 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes · +$3 · Jun 28, 2026
• Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?Yes · +$1 · Jun 28, 2026
• Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?Yes · +$2 · Jun 24, 2026
• Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Yes · +$2 · Jun 24, 2026
• Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes · +$0 · Jun 23, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.