Ledger2.69 · Polymarket wallet 0xad30…84a8

Wallet snapshot

Ledger2.69 has made 123 trades on Polymarket across 84 markets, $2,373 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (33%) and politics (29%). On 83 resolved markets the win rate is 91.6%, lifetime P&L +$72. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Mar 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $68 · 79¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?No · +$1 · Mar 8, 2026
• Will Russia enter Toretske by January 15?No · +$1 · Mar 8, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?No · +$2 · Mar 8, 2026
• Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes · +$1 · Mar 8, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No · +$2 · Mar 8, 2026
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes · +$3 · Mar 8, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes · +$1 · Mar 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?No · +$2 · Mar 8, 2026
• Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?No · +$1 · Jan 6, 2026
• Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?No · +$2 · Jan 6, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.