polyinit-109-14e17b · Polymarket wallet 0xaa49…d687

Wallet snapshot

polyinit-109-14e17b has made 762 trades on Polymarket across 52 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (44%) and sports (33%). On 47 resolved markets the win rate is 66%, lifetime P&L +$99. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "New pandemic in 2026?". Last trade: Jul 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• New pandemic in 2026?No · $1 · 91¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes · -$0 · Sep 7, 2026
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No · -$0 · Aug 21, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$0 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes · -$0 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes · -$0 · Aug 5, 2026
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No · +$2 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?No · -$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No · +$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No · -$0 · Jul 16, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.