MMbear · Polymarket wallet 0xa8b9…c8e4

Wallet snapshot

MMbear has made 571 trades on Polymarket across 172 markets, $9,353 in volume. Most of it is in politics (36%) and sports (16%). On 167 resolved markets the win rate is 62.3%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House". Last trade: Dec 22, 2025.

Largest open positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · $37 · 33¢ → 62¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No · $14 · 70¢ → 94¢
• 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No · $10 · 89¢ → 97¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $5 · 18¢ → 9¢

Latest closed positions

• Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No · -$19 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No · -$20 · Jun 17, 2026
• Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?Yes · -$5 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?Yes · -$10 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes · -$7 · Jun 17, 2026
• 5kt meteor strike in 2025?Yes · -$5 · Jun 17, 2026
• Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?No · +$4 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?No · +$4 · Jun 17, 2026
• Macron out in 2025?No · +$2 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?No · +$4 · Jun 17, 2026

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