Polymarket wallet 0xa851…b514

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xa851…b514 has made 225 trades on Polymarket across 111 markets, $351 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (19%) and economics (17%). On 105 resolved markets the win rate is 56.2%, lifetime P&L +$6. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?Yes · $1 · 55¢ → 78¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?No · $1 · 55¢ → 57¢
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?Yes · $1 · 64¢ → 66¢
• Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000?No · $1 · 28¢ → 27¢

Latest closed positions

• Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?Yes · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Yes · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?Yes · +$2 · Oct 15, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 15, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 14?No · +$2 · Oct 14, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7?No · -$1 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 9, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.