Balgrave · Polymarket wallet 0xa740…ee65

Wallet snapshot

Balgrave has made 46 trades on Polymarket across 17 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (88%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 60%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?". Last trade: Sep 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No · $3 · 93¢ → 94¢

Latest closed positions

• Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?No · $0 · Aug 10, 2026
• Will Russia target Kyiv by August 14, 2026?Yes · -$14 · Aug 10, 2026
• Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No · $0 · Aug 9, 2026
• Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No · $0 · Aug 9, 2026
• Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?No · $0 · Aug 8, 2026
• Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No · $0 · Aug 8, 2026
• Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No · +$26 · Aug 5, 2026
• Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?No · $0 · Aug 5, 2026
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?No · -$0 · Jul 22, 2026
• UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 22, 2026

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