ellenk · Polymarket wallet 0xa6f5…715a

Wallet snapshot

ellenk has made 154 trades on Polymarket across 53 markets, $34K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (26%) and politics (19%). On 41 resolved markets the win rate is 82.9%, lifetime P&L +$39. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?No · $5 · 90¢ → 96¢
• Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?No · $4 · 97¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 29, 2026
• Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?No · +$0 · Jun 29, 2026
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · -$0 · Jun 29, 2026
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No · -$2 · Jun 12, 2026
• Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes · +$0 · Jun 12, 2026
• FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?Yes · +$1 · May 14, 2026
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$0 · May 11, 2026
• Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes · +$0 · Apr 19, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No · +$0 · Apr 17, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?No · +$1 · Apr 15, 2026

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