38949 · Polymarket wallet 0xa697…b351

+$36 lifetime P&L · 85.4% win rate · 41 resolved markets · 0xa697d9763d9f894f2c4695c696e9755644f1b351

LIVE · AUTO-REFRESH 60S

Wallet snapshot

38949 has made 170 trades on Polymarket across 49 markets, $113K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (49%) and crypto (14%). On 41 resolved markets the win rate is 85.4%, lifetime P&L +$36. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jul 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $16 · 96¢ → 98¢
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?No · $11 · 93¢ → 97¢
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Yes · $0 · 9¢ → 4¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $0 · 11¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 6, 2026
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No · -$0 · Jul 6, 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 6, 2026
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?No · +$2 · Jul 6, 2026
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No · +$2 · Jul 6, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No · +$1 · Jul 6, 2026
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No · +$1 · Jul 6, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No · +$0 · Jul 6, 2026
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No · +$1 · Apr 7, 2026
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?No · +$1 · Apr 7, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.