eredfgfg · Polymarket wallet 0xa4d9…96ed

Wallet snapshot

eredfgfg has made 115 trades on Polymarket across 67 markets, $689 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (28%) and politics (22%). On 49 resolved markets the win rate is 69.4%, lifetime P&L +$4. It holds 14 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?". Last trade: Apr 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $17 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?No · $12 · 50¢ → 97¢
• Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No · $10 · 83¢ → 100¢
• Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No · $10 · 82¢ → 98¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $9 · 89¢ → 98¢
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · $9 · 92¢ → 97¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?Yes · $8 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $8 · 89¢ → 98¢
• Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $7 · 92¢ → 98¢
• Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $7 · 85¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No · +$3 · May 6, 2026
• US strike on Colombia by March 31?No · +$6 · May 6, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No · +$2 · May 6, 2026
• MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No · +$1 · May 6, 2026
• Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?Yes · +$17 · May 4, 2026
• Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?Yes · -$1 · Apr 13, 2026
• Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.