Polymarket wallet 0xa286…a17e

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xa286…a17e has made 75 trades on Polymarket across 74 markets, $75 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (12%) and economics (8%). On 70 resolved markets the win rate is 58.6%, lifetime P&L -$1. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?No · $1 · 77¢ → 99¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?No · $1 · 54¢ → 64¢
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 13?Yes · $1 · 59¢ → 69¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?Yes · $1 · 22¢ → 21¢

Latest closed positions

• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?No · +$1 · Nov 13, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Nov 9, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?Yes · -$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?No · +$2 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?No · +$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?No · +$0 · Nov 3, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?Yes · -$1 · Nov 3, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Yes · +$0 · Oct 31, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 23, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 22, 2026

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