16854456 · Polymarket wallet 0x9c2d…61f0

Wallet snapshot

16854456 has made 314 trades on Polymarket across 177 markets, $97K in volume. Most of it is in sports (77%) and politics (7%). On 167 resolved markets the win rate is 64.7%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?". Last trade: Sep 22, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes · $33 · 89¢ → 98¢
• Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes · $20 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $18 · 46¢ → 81¢
• Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes · $6 · 14¢ → 10¢

Latest closed positions

• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$40 · Aug 11, 2026
• France vs. England: Team to WinYes · -$254 · Jul 16, 2026
• Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026No · +$13 · Jul 16, 2026
• Spread: Spain (-1.5)No · -$801 · Jul 12, 2026
• France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceYes · +$26 · Jul 9, 2026
• Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNo · +$36 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$14 · Jun 27, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETYes · +$204 · Jun 25, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETNo · -$60 · Jun 25, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETNo · -$50 · Jun 25, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.