Limited-Steel · Polymarket wallet 0x9bb3…699c

Wallet snapshot

Limited-Steel has made 39 trades on Polymarket across 24 markets, $940 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (58%). On 18 resolved markets the win rate is 55.6%, lifetime P&L +$38. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?No · $86 · 51¢ → 76¢
• AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?No · $64 · 75¢ → 76¢
• Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Yes · $2 · 12¢ → 4¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes · $2 · 45¢ → 14¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes · $1 · 24¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No · +$2 · Aug 4, 2026
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes · +$2 · Jul 25, 2026
• 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?No · +$6 · Jul 21, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No · +$39 · Jul 21, 2026
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No · +$3 · Jul 1, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No · +$5 · Jun 8, 2026
• Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?No · +$5 · Jun 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.