crossjustin · Polymarket wallet 0x9b21…d5cf

Wallet snapshot

crossjustin has made 52 trades on Polymarket across 34 markets, $394 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (27%) and politics (27%). On 30 resolved markets the win rate is 70%, lifetime P&L -$2. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Aug 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $1 · 68¢ → 80¢
• Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No · $1 · 94¢ → 99¢
• US recession by end of 2026?Yes · $0 · 27¢ → 8¢

Latest closed positions

• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$1 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No · +$0 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Yes · +$0 · Aug 8, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes · +$1 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No · +$0 · Jul 10, 2026
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?No · +$1 · Apr 5, 2026
• Trump out as President by March 31?No · +$0 · Apr 5, 2026
• US government shutdown Saturday?No · -$1 · Feb 6, 2026
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No · +$1 · Feb 6, 2026
• Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?Yes · -$1 · Feb 6, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.