Polymarket wallet 0x9204…101d

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x9204…101d has made 138 trades on Polymarket across 136 markets, $218 in volume. Most of it is in economics (16%) and geopolitics (13%). On 127 resolved markets the win rate is 55.9%, lifetime P&L +$7. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?". Last trade: Nov 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?Yes · $1 · 77¢ → 77¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?No · $1 · 79¢ → 69¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?No · $1 · 54¢ → 47¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 11, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Nov 9, 2026
• Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Yes · -$1 · Nov 9, 2026
• Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 5, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?No · -$1 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?No · -$1 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?Yes · +$1 · Oct 30, 2026

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