worldeconomy · Polymarket wallet 0x8df6…f635

Wallet snapshot

worldeconomy has made 511 trades on Polymarket across 78 markets, $224K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (45%) and politics (18%). On 76 resolved markets the win rate is 61.8%, lifetime P&L +$3,696. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Oct 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $11 · 66¢ → 73¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No · $4 · 42¢ → 18¢

Latest closed positions

• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · +$2 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · +$23 · Jul 30, 2026
• Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?No · +$39 · Apr 8, 2026
• Government shutdown on Saturday?No · +$43 · Feb 17, 2026
• Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No · -$20 · Feb 4, 2026
• Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?No · +$54 · Feb 3, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No · +$30 · Feb 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No · +$71 · Jan 3, 2026
• NATO downs another Russian drone by December 31?No · +$335 · Jan 3, 2026
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No · +$12 · Jan 3, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.