semaphore · Polymarket wallet 0x8c34…dc1c

Wallet snapshot

semaphore has made 493 trades on Polymarket across 131 markets, $49K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (57%) and politics (18%). On 127 resolved markets the win rate is 73.2%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: May 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $191 · 36¢ → 64¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $0 · Jul 2, 2026
• Epstein client list released by June 30?No · $0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No · +$7 · Jun 10, 2026
• Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No · +$3 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes · +$202 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?No · $0 · May 30, 2026
• Will "Obsession" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?Yes · $0 · May 30, 2026
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · May 30, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No · $0 · May 30, 2026
• US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes · $0 · May 30, 2026

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