Polymarket wallet 0x8be1…2297

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x8be1…2297 has made 381 trades on Polymarket across 108 markets, $415 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (46%) and geopolitics (34%). On 99 resolved markets the win rate is 70.7%. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?". Last trade: Sep 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · $25 · 93¢ → 97¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 66¢ → 96¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 80¢ → 97¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 83¢ → 98¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No · $1 · 91¢ → 98¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $1 · 79¢ → 84¢
• Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes · $0 · 62¢ → 24¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes · +$1 · Sep 10, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No · -$1 · Sep 3, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes · +$1 · Aug 12, 2026
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.