GREYER · Polymarket wallet 0x86eb…5864

−$168 lifetime P&L · 66.1% win rate · 254 resolved markets · 0x86eb1343ce524c648d250bfdcec5da0cd1c15864

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Wallet snapshot

GREYER has made 577 trades on Polymarket across 297 markets, $18K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (20%) and sports (14%). On 254 resolved markets the win rate is 66.1%, lifetime P&L -$168. It holds 37 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?". Last trade: Jul 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No · $96 · 76¢ → 96¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $95 · 45¢ → 95¢
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No · $90 · 66¢ → 90¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No · $89 · 49¢ → 89¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $88 · 68¢ → 88¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $55 · 79¢ → 55¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes · $48 · 75¢ → 96¢
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?No · $47 · 86¢ → 95¢
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Yes · $45 · 83¢ → 53¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No · $39 · 75¢ → 79¢

Latest closed positions

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No · +$32 · Jul 24, 2026
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?Yes · +$30 · Jul 24, 2026
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Yes · +$6 · Jul 24, 2026
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$67 · Jul 24, 2026
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?No · +$2 · Jul 14, 2026
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

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