res0000 · Polymarket wallet 0x867a…16fc

Wallet snapshot

On 39 resolved markets the win rate is 71.8%, lifetime P&L +$98. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?".

Largest open positions

• Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?No · $44 · 78¢ → 86¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No · $41 · 84¢ → 86¢
• Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026?No · $41 · 82¢ → 84¢
• Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by December 31, 2026?No · $13 · 84¢ → 85¢

Latest closed positions

• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?No · +$9 · Nov 1, 2026
• Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Yes · +$3 · Nov 1, 2026
• Tusk out by December 31?No · +$9 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by November 30, 2026?No · +$6 · Oct 30, 2026
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 22?Yes · +$4 · Oct 30, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · +$11 · Oct 29, 2026
• Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?No · +$14 · Oct 28, 2026
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No · +$17 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?No · -$10 · Oct 26, 2026
• Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No · +$6 · Oct 26, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.