Polymarket wallet 0x858b…f3ca

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x858b…f3ca has made 70 trades on Polymarket across 23 markets, $226 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (26%) and politics (22%). On 22 resolved markets the win rate is 72.7%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?". Last trade: Dec 28, 2025.

Largest open positions

• Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 3¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?Yes · +$1 · Jan 1, 2026
• Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes · +$4 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No · +$0 · Dec 29, 2025
• Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?Yes · +$1 · Dec 28, 2025
• Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $470-$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26?No · +$0 · Dec 27, 2025
• Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?No · +$0 · Dec 26, 2025
• Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Yes · +$0 · Dec 25, 2025
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 23?Yes · +$0 · Dec 24, 2025
• Will Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Yes · +$0 · Dec 23, 2025
• Will Trump say "Love" or "Loved" 5+ times during Bill Signing on December 12?Yes · -$1 · Dec 13, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.