Resolved
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$716.0K
6,422 trades
Smart Whales
200
of 996 traders
Smart Money Consensus
120 YESvs80 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $301 is directional: YES $0·NO $301YES Team
Total Invested
$156.8K
Avg Win Rate
79.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$108.4K(+69.2%)
Whales
120
A
arjennnnn🥇
Entry 44¢·106,451.9 shares
Invested
$46.3K
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$60117
+$60117INV $46.3K · WR 87.5%
P
Pure-Threat◆Proven🥈
Entry 79¢·39,261.7 shares
Invested
$30.9K
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$8352
+$8352INV $30.9K · WR 82.0%
E
Epstein🥉
Entry 93¢·16,066.6 shares
Invested
$15.0K
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$1102
+$1102INV $15.0K · WR 56.2%
B
bamesjond◆Proven
Entry 35¢·27,239.1 shares
Invested
$9.6K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$17595
+$17595INV $9.6K · WR 85.7%
A
alexfunfunfun
Entry 61¢·15,049.2 shares
Invested
$9.2K
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$5880
+$5880INV $9.2K · WR 71.8%
B
BetterFishhedged
Entry 95¢·6,754.5 shares·also $2.0K on NO
Invested
$6.4K
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$344
+$344INV $6.4K · WR 70.2%
G
generalVR
Entry 62¢·10,174.7 shares
Invested
$6.3K
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$3890
+$3890INV $6.3K · WR 65.6%
T
TeemuPukki
Entry 98¢·5,445 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
+$113
+$113INV $5.3K · WR 80.4%
C
Chims◆Proven
Entry 98¢·3,935.8 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $3.9K · WR 85.2%
1
1hbh
Entry 65¢·3,689 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$1290
+$1290INV $2.4K · WR 73.4%
Showing top 10 of 120
NO Team
Total Invested
$89.7K
Avg Win Rate
82.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$69.7K(-77.7%)
Whales
80
F
flow-trader-at-optiver🥇
Entry 52¢·35,399.8 shares
Invested
$18.3K
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-18348
$-18348INV $18.3K · WR 81.6%
R
rated🥈
Entry 40¢·44,198.9 shares
Invested
$17.6K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-17562
$-17562INV $17.6K · WR 87.7%
I
influenz.eth🥉
Entry 46¢·36,798.2 shares
Invested
$17.0K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-17048
$-17048INV $17.0K · WR 85.8%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 36¢·24,443.7 shares
Invested
$8.9K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-8916
$-8916INV $8.9K · WR 87.6%
S
SupremeGentleman
Entry 98¢·5,204.8 shares
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-5120
$-5120INV $5.1K · WR 56.3%
B
BetterFishhedged
Entry 29¢·6,754.5 shares·also $6.4K on YES
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-1954
$-1954INV $2.0K · WR 70.2%
P
paspor
Entry 8¢·5,776.9 shares
Invested
$466
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-466
$-466INV $466 · WR 85.8%
A
AllByMyseIf
Entry 22¢·676 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-147
$-147INV $147 · WR 70.8%
B
borja13
Entry 1¢·10,306.1 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-143
$-143INV $143 · WR 68.0%
M
Merlot◆Proven
Entry 8¢·128 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 67.2%
Showing top 10 of 80
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