Fairbourne · Polymarket wallet 0x8450…a59d

Wallet snapshot

Fairbourne has made 49 trades on Polymarket across 25 markets, $15K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (60%) and sports (32%). On 16 resolved markets the win rate is 62.5%, lifetime P&L +$230. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No · $6 · 75¢ → 84¢
• Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 91¢ → 89¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?No · -$21 · Aug 3, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · -$0 · Jul 30, 2026
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No · -$1 · Jul 7, 2026
• Spread: Nice (-2.5)No · +$20 · May 26, 2026
• Will Alberta join the US? No · $0 · May 26, 2026
• Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)No · +$24 · May 24, 2026
• Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?No · $0 · May 24, 2026
• Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)No · +$22 · May 23, 2026
• Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No · $0 · May 23, 2026
• Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)No · +$34 · May 20, 2026

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