Reckless-Estrogen-Competence · Polymarket wallet 0x8314…0b88

+$8,539 lifetime P&L · 63.6% win rate · 11 resolved markets · 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88

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Wallet snapshot

Reckless-Estrogen-Competence has made 1,241 trades on Polymarket across 277 markets, $197K in volume. Most of it is in politics (69%) and economics (7%). On 11 resolved markets the win rate is 63.6%, lifetime P&L +$8,539. It holds 261 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes · $9,722 · 79¢ → 95¢
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No · $7,475 · 85¢ → 92¢
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?Yes · $4,365 · 86¢ → 95¢
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No · $4,121 · 78¢ → 86¢
Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?Yes · $3,900 · 95¢ → 99¢
Will "Sense and Sensibility" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?No · $3,413 · 76¢ → 93¢
Will "The Man That I Wave At" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No · $3,104 · 76¢ → 95¢
Will "Coward" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No · $2,886 · 71¢ → 86¢
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Yes · $2,750 · 82¢ → 95¢
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Yes · $2,389 · 86¢ → 91¢

Latest closed positions

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 30%-35%?Yes · $0 · Oct 31, 2026
Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes · +$169 · Oct 30, 2026
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?No · +$193 · Oct 30, 2026
Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?No · +$64 · Oct 30, 2026
Will Quillan Salkilld fight Mauricio Ruffy next?No · +$405 · Oct 30, 2026
Will Quillan Salkilld fight Rafael Fiziev next?No · +$150 · Oct 30, 2026
Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 11.5% to 12.5%?

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