Politics4 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$8.5K
173 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 88 traders
Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $40.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs12 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+23 new YES$638+15 new NO$1.5K
$668 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $232 is directional: YES $38·NO $194YES Team
Total Invested
$77
Avg Win Rate
73.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$25(-32.2%)
Whales
5
E
e2021dc🥇hedged
Entry 39¢·100 shares·also $63 on NO
Invested
$39
Win Rate
75.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $39 · WR 75.1%
S
sbimbg🥈
Entry 38¢·82.4 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $32 · WR 71.9%
M
Maximus374◆Proven🥉
Entry 37¢·15 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 72.4%
C
coypu
Entry 10¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 74.8%
J
just-bettor
Entry 10¢·0.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 55.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$678
Avg Win Rate
69.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$134(+19.7%)
Whales
12
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 62¢·511.9 shares
Invested
$317
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $317 · WR 71.9%
E
estoicc🥈
Entry 58¢·167.8 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $97 · WR 56.1%
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven🥉
Entry 64¢·150.8 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $96 · WR 62.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 77¢·82.6 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $63 · WR 79.3%
E
e2021dchedged
Entry 63¢·100 shares·also $39 on YES
Invested
$63
Win Rate
75.1%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $63 · WR 75.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 61¢·30 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $18 · WR 88.0%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 62¢·8.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 59.6%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 62¢·8.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 59.9%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 62¢·8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 59.8%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 62¢·8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 57.2%
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