Politics4 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$10.1K
201 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 81 traders
Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $40.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs6 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$363+7 new NO$978
$230 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6 is directional: YES $6·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$11
Avg Win Rate
64.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$16(+148.3%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$15(-1.5%)
Whales
6
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven🥇
Entry 70¢·781.5 shares
Invested
$544
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $544 · WR 62.9%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 81¢·451.9 shares
Invested
$365
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $365 · WR 71.9%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 81¢·60 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $48 · WR 69.7%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 81¢·37.5 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $30 · WR 57.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 69¢·35.9 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $25 · WR 89.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 79.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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