Polymarket wallet 0x82d8…b798

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x82d8…b798 has made 162 trades on Polymarket across 80 markets, $171 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (11%) and economics (10%). On 76 resolved markets the win rate is 55.3%, lifetime P&L +$2. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes · $2 · 25¢ → 48¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes · $1 · 25¢ → 14¢
• Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · $0 · 82¢ → 35¢
• Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · $0 · 35¢ → 12¢

Latest closed positions

• S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 13?No · -$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 11, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 7, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.