TimeDecay · Polymarket wallet 0x811f…16e3

Wallet snapshot

TimeDecay has made 4,068 trades on Polymarket across 309 markets, $277K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (33%) and sports (29%). On 304 resolved markets the win rate is 69.4%, lifetime P&L +$8,103. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Sep 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $54 · 40¢ → 78¢
• Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes · $5 · 15¢ → 28¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $2 · 13¢ → 10¢

Latest closed positions

• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$3 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$556 · Sep 16, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes · -$3 · Sep 9, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$2,373 · Sep 9, 2026
• Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier PlayoffsNo · +$0 · Sep 2, 2026
• LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonYes · +$1 · Aug 19, 2026
• Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Lazer Cats - Map 2 WinnerYes · -$2 · Aug 19, 2026
• Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA PlayoffsNo · -$3 · Aug 19, 2026
• Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs Fortress (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular SeasonNo · -$24 · Aug 19, 2026
• Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs ex-Sashi Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group DYes · -$8 · Aug 19, 2026

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