Polymarket wallet 0x7a1b…aef4

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x7a1b…aef4 has made 241 trades on Polymarket across 155 markets, $3,263 in volume. Most of it is in sports (47%) and crypto (32%). On 138 resolved markets the win rate is 73.2%, lifetime P&L -$3. It holds 17 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Sep 24, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $17 · 43¢ → 13¢
• Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 91¢ → 96¢
• Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?No · $1 · 88¢ → 97¢
• Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No · $1 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No · $1 · 97¢ → 99¢
• Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No · $0 · 89¢ → 98¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $0 · 44¢ → 87¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $0 · 37¢ → 48¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · -$6 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No · -$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?No · -$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No · -$1 · Aug 5, 2026
• Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No · -$1 · Aug 2, 2026
• Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?No · -$0 · Aug 2, 2026
• Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.