justferdi · Polymarket wallet 0x78e2…9e5a

Wallet snapshot

justferdi has made 108 trades on Polymarket across 34 markets, $1,341 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (35%) and sports (27%). On 28 resolved markets the win rate is 57.1%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jun 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $1 · 93¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No · $0 · Jul 7, 2026
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes · +$1 · Jun 21, 2026
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No · -$0 · Jun 19, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No · $0 · Jun 18, 2026
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No · $0 · Jun 18, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes · $0 · Jun 18, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $0 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 7, 2026
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No · $0 · Jun 6, 2026
• Iran leadership change by June 30?No · $0 · Jun 6, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.