Affectionate-Cartridge · Polymarket wallet 0x7016…2383

Wallet snapshot

Affectionate-Cartridge has made 37 trades on Polymarket across 36 markets, $98 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (42%) and politics (33%). On 31 resolved markets the win rate is 61.3%. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US strike on Mexico by December 31?". Last trade: Jul 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US strike on Mexico by December 31?No · $3 · 68¢ → 97¢
• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $3 · 65¢ → 85¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $2 · 52¢ → 6¢
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No · $1 · 55¢ → 60¢
• Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · 36¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?No · +$3 · Mar 9, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETNo · +$0 · Mar 9, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes · +$8 · Mar 2, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes · +$3 · Mar 2, 2026
• Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No · +$2 · Feb 9, 2026
• Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)Yes · +$0 · Jan 15, 2026
• Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?No · +$1 · Jan 11, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.