Disguised-Motive · Polymarket wallet 0x6da5…fd2e

Wallet snapshot

Disguised-Motive has made 73 trades on Polymarket across 56 markets, $83 in volume. Most of it is in sports (82%). On 52 resolved markets the win rate is 55.8%, lifetime P&L -$13. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Oct 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $1 · 85¢ → 86¢
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $1 · 36¢ → 37¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $1 · 24¢ → 24¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No · +$0 · Aug 4, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · +$0 · Jul 29, 2026
• Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceYes · +$2 · Jul 19, 2026
• Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes · -$1 · Jul 15, 2026
• Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes · +$4 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Yes · -$1 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?Yes · +$2 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes · +$1 · Jul 10, 2026
• Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes · +$2 · Jul 7, 2026
• Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes · +$1 · Jul 6, 2026

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