Amberstone · Polymarket wallet 0x6b17…1bc2

Wallet snapshot

Amberstone has made 29 trades on Polymarket across 19 markets, $15K in volume. Most of it is in sports (37%) and geopolitics (21%). On 17 resolved markets the win rate is 82.4%, lifetime P&L +$14K. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Another Fed rate hike in 2026?". Last trade: Sep 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes · $9 · 92¢ → 80¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes · +$2 · Jul 18, 2026
• Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?Yes · +$9 · Jun 3, 2026
• Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)No · +$0 · Jun 3, 2026
• UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)No · +$8 · May 22, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No · +$0 · May 22, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes · +$1 · May 22, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No · +$0 · May 22, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No · +$0 · Apr 17, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No · +$0 · Apr 17, 2026
• Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5No · +$9,068 · Mar 15, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.