mangshan · Polymarket wallet 0x6902…5548

Wallet snapshot

mangshan has made 139 trades on Polymarket across 32 markets, $17K in volume. Most of it is in politics (44%) and crypto (22%). On 30 resolved markets the win rate is 73.3%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: May 31, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?No · $22 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $18 · 88¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No · +$1 · May 31, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No · +$0 · Apr 25, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?No · +$0 · Mar 29, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No · +$0 · Mar 29, 2026
• New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28? No · +$0 · Feb 26, 2026
• Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?Yes · $0 · Feb 26, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Jan 28, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Jan 28, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Jan 28, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Yes · +$0 · Dec 14, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.