n1414 · Polymarket wallet 0x68d3…82e1

Wallet snapshot

n1414 has made 2,308 trades on Polymarket across 176 markets, $228K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (73%) and politics (9%). On 164 resolved markets the win rate is 68.3%, lifetime P&L +$9,509. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 26, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $3,300 · 69¢ → 83¢
• Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $42 · 34¢ → 21¢
• Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No · $1 · 11¢ → 13¢

Latest closed positions

• Will DJ Snake attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?No · +$2 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Erling Haaland attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?No · +$14 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?No · +$1 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No · -$0 · Oct 21, 2026
• Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 19, 2026
• Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes · -$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No · -$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No · -$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes · +$7 · Sep 16, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No · +$29 · Sep 1, 2026

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