asymptoticnormality · Polymarket wallet 0x66d1…b9ff

Wallet snapshot

asymptoticnormality has made 238 trades on Polymarket across 60 markets, $14K in volume. Most of it is in sports (23%) and tech (22%). On 52 resolved markets the win rate is 82.7%, lifetime P&L +$467. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?". Last trade: Oct 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes · $3,503 · 59¢ → 75¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes · -$337 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No · -$28 · Aug 23, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes · +$31 · Aug 10, 2026
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · +$4 · Jul 25, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes · +$6 · Jul 17, 2026
• Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No · +$15 · Jul 17, 2026
• Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No · +$4 · Jul 17, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes · +$36 · Jul 11, 2026
• Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?No · +$3 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$5 · Jul 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.