80 days left
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YES Price
70¢
70% implied
NO Price
30¢
30% implied
Volume
$12.5K
648 trades
Smart Whales
35
of 162 traders
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
10 MARKETS · $42.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs17 NO
51%49%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 79% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 81%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$274+6 new NO$75
$31 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.5K is directional: YES $1.1K·NO $303YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$871(+55.8%)
Whales
18
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 63¢·443.1 shares·also $187 on NO
Invested
$279
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $279 · WR 57.2%
N
Nutritious-Emanate🥈
Entry 54¢·445 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $240 · WR 73.8%
A
Amazing-Accommodation🥉
Entry 64¢·307 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $195 · WR 86.0%
H
Hauchn
Entry 38¢·370.5 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$119
+$119INV $143 · WR 55.6%
M
myibaba
Entry 60¢·220 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $131 · WR 85.7%
A
azar-Gebeil
Entry 57¢·196.5 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $112 · WR 66.7%
3
0x3564035c...
Entry 61¢·166.8 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $102 · WR 65.0%
A
asymptoticnormalityhedged
Entry 45¢·210.4 shares·also $74 on NO
Invested
$95
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $95 · WR 82.7%
C
chaosj88◆Proven
Entry 59¢·137.3 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $81 · WR 86.4%
G
Guyton
Entry 59¢·100 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $59 · WR 63.8%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$827
Avg Win Rate
71.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$101(-12.2%)
Whales
17
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 27¢·707.7 shares
Invested
$193
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $193 · WR 79.6%
B
BAO95889🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·374.1 shares·also $279 on YES
Invested
$187
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $187 · WR 57.2%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven🥉
Entry 31¢·347.1 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $107 · WR 55.7%
A
asymptoticnormalityhedged
Entry 35¢·210.4 shares·also $95 on YES
Invested
$74
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $74 · WR 82.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 45¢·89.2 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $40 · WR 89.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 58¢·50 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $29 · WR 89.3%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 44¢·59 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $26 · WR 88.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 32¢·75 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $24 · WR 85.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 29¢·11.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 9 of 17
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