placebos · Polymarket wallet 0x6513…9f3c

Wallet snapshot

placebos has made 82 trades on Polymarket across 44 markets, $3,310 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (48%) and geopolitics (21%). On 43 resolved markets the win rate is 86%, lifetime P&L +$16. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?". Last trade: May 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $33 · 84¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No · +$6 · May 17, 2026
• Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?No · -$56 · Apr 20, 2026
• Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes · -$4 · Feb 26, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by January 31?No · +$1 · Feb 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?No · +$1 · Feb 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No · +$4 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?No · +$4 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No · +$1 · Dec 1, 2025
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No · +$1 · Dec 1, 2025
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No · +$3 · Nov 4, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.