04112026 · Polymarket wallet 0x622e…5cc2

Wallet snapshot

04112026 has made 59 trades on Polymarket across 24 markets, $6,302 in volume. Most of it is in sports (43%) and geopolitics (14%). On 17 resolved markets the win rate is 64.7%, lifetime P&L +$544. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?". Last trade: Nov 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?No · $556 · 89¢ → 93¢
• Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?No · $274 · 75¢ → 69¢
• Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?No · $177 · 85¢ → 89¢
• Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?No · $165 · 84¢ → 83¢
• Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No · $83 · 59¢ → 42¢
• Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?No · $53 · 30¢ → 53¢
• Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $38 · 94¢ → 94¢
• Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?No · $16 · 64¢ → 67¢
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?No · $5 · 81¢ → 83¢
• Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No · $2 · 87¢ → 88¢

Latest closed positions

• Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · Nov 9, 2026
• Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?No · $0 · Nov 9, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No · $0 · Nov 9, 2026
• Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group ANo · +$285 · Nov 9, 2026
• Dota 2: Froglings vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group AYes · -$204 · Nov 9, 2026
• Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Yes · -$1 · Nov 9, 2026
• U-BT Cluj-Napoca vs. Bosna Royal

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