runway · Polymarket wallet 0x5ec4…64f7

Wallet snapshot

runway has made 37 trades on Polymarket across 25 markets, $408 in volume. Most of it is in politics (36%) and crypto (28%). On 19 resolved markets the win rate is 84.2%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?". Last trade: Feb 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $20 · 97¢ → 99¢
• Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?No · $19 · 87¢ → 77¢
• Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No · $13 · 95¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• China coup attempt before 2027?No · +$1 · Feb 16, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · +$1 · Feb 15, 2026
• Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Feb 12, 2026
• Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in January 2026?No · +$0 · Feb 12, 2026
• US x Russia military clash by January 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Feb 12, 2026
• Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No · +$0 · Jan 30, 2026
• Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 30, 2026
• Xi Jinping out in 2025?No · +$1 · Jan 30, 2026
• Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No · +$1 · Dec 22, 2025
• Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out in 2025?No · +$0 · Dec 22, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.