Wet-Cravat · Polymarket wallet 0x5d01…8411

Wallet snapshot

Wet-Cravat has made 152 trades on Polymarket across 53 markets, $989 in volume. Most of it is in sports (60%) and geopolitics (25%). On 48 resolved markets the win rate is 60.4%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Apr 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $2 · 14¢ → 2¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1 · 10¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No · -$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No · -$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes · +$2 · Jul 1, 2026
• U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes · +$1 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No · +$0 · Apr 18, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETYes · -$8 · Mar 21, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETYes · -$5 · Mar 21, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETYes · +$2 · Mar 21, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETNo · -$5 · Mar 21, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETNo · -$5 · Mar 21, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.