grazh · Polymarket wallet 0x5a82…206a

Wallet snapshot

grazh has made 115 trades on Polymarket across 26 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in politics (23%) and geopolitics (19%). On 23 resolved markets the win rate is 65.2%, lifetime P&L +$11K. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Mar 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $8 · 85¢ → 91¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $1 · 24¢ → 10¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · -$2 · Mar 7, 2026
• Maduro out by December 31, 2026?No · -$50 · Mar 7, 2026
• Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes · -$8 · Mar 7, 2026
• Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No · -$2 · Mar 7, 2026
• Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes · -$5 · Mar 7, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes · -$5 · Mar 7, 2026
• Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes · -$15 · Mar 7, 2026
• Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Yes · +$9 · Mar 7, 2026
• Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?No · +$44 · Mar 2, 2026
• Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes · +$11K · Mar 2, 2026

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