xianz · Polymarket wallet 0x5712…a031

Wallet snapshot

xianz has made 52 trades on Polymarket across 28 markets, $790 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (36%) and geopolitics (25%). On 23 resolved markets the win rate is 82.6%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Feb 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $210 · 90¢ → 98¢
• Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No · $15 · 95¢ → 97¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $6 · 88¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• US civil war before 2027?No · +$1 · Dec 31, 2025
• Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes · $0 · Dec 29, 2025
• Will Variational launch a token in 2025?Yes · +$0 · Dec 26, 2025
• China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?Yes · +$0 · Dec 26, 2025
• US x Russia military clash by December 31?No · +$0 · Dec 26, 2025
• Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No · +$0 · Dec 26, 2025
• Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out in 2025?Yes · $0 · Dec 26, 2025
• Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes · +$0 · Dec 26, 2025
• Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No · +$0 · Dec 26, 2025
• China coup attempt in 2025?No · +$0 · Nov 30, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.