lassenstr · Polymarket wallet 0x53d6…055a

Wallet snapshot

lassenstr has made 243 trades on Polymarket across 32 markets, $160K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (47%) and tech (16%). On 22 resolved markets the win rate is 86.4%, lifetime P&L -$265. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $5,261 · 96¢ → 96¢
• OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No · $2,399 · 81¢ → 92¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $2,072 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No · $1,335 · 84¢ → 89¢
• Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?No · $1,080 · 84¢ → 97¢
• Plague pandemic in 2026?No · $978 · 96¢ → 98¢
• FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No · $517 · 93¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No · +$72 · Oct 1, 2026
• Trump renames AI by September 30?Yes · +$48 · Sep 29, 2026
• Trump renames AI by September 30?No · -$686 · Sep 29, 2026
• Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No · +$125 · Sep 9, 2026
• Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Yes · +$55 · Aug 5, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No · +$19 · Aug 1, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.