df4d8fa4sdf5 · Polymarket wallet 0x53b9…4b3d

Wallet snapshot

df4d8fa4sdf5 has made 1,536 trades on Polymarket across 75 markets, $51K in volume. Most of it is in politics (21%) and tech (11%). On 62 resolved markets the win rate is 56.5%, lifetime P&L +$2,135. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?Yes · $35 · 56¢ → 18¢
• Will Abimbola Adekanmbi win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?No · $19 · 46¢ → 50¢
• Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026?No · $11 · 89¢ → 55¢
• Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31?Yes · $2 · 11¢ → 14¢
• Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes · $2 · 16¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes · +$2 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No · -$2 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes · -$20 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes · +$99 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?No · +$142 · Oct 21, 2026
• GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Yes · +$73 · Oct 17, 2026

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