Politics21 days left
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$6.3K
411 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 92 traders
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
13 MARKETS · $64.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms←
25¢−3¢$6.3K4/14Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms←−3¢25¢
$6.3K4/14
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms
9¢+4¢$4.2K2/13Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms+4¢9¢
$4.2K2/13
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms
10¢+11¢$6.2K4/15Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms+11¢10¢
$6.2K4/15
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms
8¢+9¢$8.9K3/15Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms+9¢8¢
$8.9K3/15
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms
12¢+9¢$8.7K4/15Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms+9¢12¢
$8.7K4/15
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms
1¢+18¢$3.0K3/13Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms+18¢1¢
$3.0K3/13
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms
2¢+22¢$3.5K4/13Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms+22¢2¢
$3.5K4/13
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms
4¢+10¢$4.5K2/12Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms+10¢4¢
$4.5K2/12
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms
1¢+12¢$2.3K2/13Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms+12¢1¢
$2.3K2/13
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms
3¢+18¢$2.4K3/11Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms+18¢3¢
$2.4K3/11
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms
8¢+5¢$2.8K2/14Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms+5¢8¢
$2.8K2/14
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Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs19 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 66% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$340+12 new NO$991
$194 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $176 is directional: YES $117·NO $60YES Team
Total Invested
$122
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$107(+88.1%)
Whales
5
G
GayPride◆Proven🥇
Entry 8¢·643.1 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$109
+$109INV $49 · WR 69.5%
M
MKB🥈
Entry 30¢·100 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $30 · WR 69.3%
M
Majas🥉
Entry 26¢·72 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 67.4%
G
G.Hchen
Entry 23¢·80 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 56.9%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven
Entry 16¢·30 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 64.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
82.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$614(+42.5%)
Whales
19
T
Tysha🥇
Entry 50¢·835.2 shares
Invested
$418
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$212
+$212INV $418 · WR 89.2%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 56¢·460 shares
Invested
$258
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $258 · WR 69.2%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven🥉
Entry 49¢·383.8 shares
Invested
$188
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$101
+$101INV $188 · WR 85.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 51¢·214 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $110 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 56¢·160.9 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $89 · WR 89.0%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 57¢·133.3 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $75 · WR 79.2%
C
conherence
Entry 68¢·70.9 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $48 · WR 58.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 38¢·120 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $46 · WR 86.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 74¢·50 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $37 · WR 88.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 56¢·60 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $33 · WR 87.7%
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