Polymarket wallet 0x53b7…9d31

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x53b7…9d31 has made 109 trades on Polymarket across 109 markets, $151 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (16%) and economics (9%). On 99 resolved markets the win rate is 62.6%, lifetime P&L +$3. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?". Last trade: Nov 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?No · $1 · 52¢ → 61¢
• Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?Yes · $1 · 25¢ → 25¢
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?No · $1 · 72¢ → 71¢
• Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?No · $1 · 71¢ → 69¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?Yes · $1 · 26¢ → 23¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?Yes · $1 · 24¢ → 14¢

Latest closed positions

• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 12?Yes · -$1 · Nov 13, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?Yes · +$3 · Nov 10, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.