Grown-Adapter · Polymarket wallet 0x516c…eb2a

Wallet snapshot

Grown-Adapter has made 1,787 trades on Polymarket across 407 markets, $23K in volume. Most of it is in sports (50%) and crypto (34%). On 407 resolved markets the win rate is 55%, lifetime P&L -$149. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?". Last trade: Oct 29, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes · $1 · 83¢ → 87¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $1 · 94¢ → 94¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?Yes · $1 · 71¢ → 58¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30?Yes · $0 · 60¢ → 8¢

Latest closed positions

• Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETYes · +$0 · Oct 30, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETYes · +$0 · Oct 30, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETNo · +$0 · Oct 30, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETYes · +$0 · Oct 30, 2026
• Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETYes · +$0 · Oct 30, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?No · +$0 · Oct 30, 2026
• Counter-Strike: B8 vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerNo · +$1 · Oct 29, 2026
• Counter-Strike: B8 vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerNo · +$0 · Oct 29, 2026
• Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerNo · +$1 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?Yes · +$1 · Oct 29, 2026

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