Ararat307 · Polymarket wallet 0x50f2…f52c

Wallet snapshot

Ararat307 has made 120 trades on Polymarket across 60 markets, $11K in volume. Most of it is in sports (58%) and crypto (13%). On 51 resolved markets the win rate is 68.6%, lifetime P&L +$3,584. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?". Last trade: Aug 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No · $49 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?No · $15 · 94¢ → 82¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?No · +$3 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No · +$0 · Aug 27, 2026
• Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?No · +$0 · Aug 4, 2026
• Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?No · +$1 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$0 · Jun 21, 2026
• Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?No · +$1 · Jun 10, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 9, 2026
• Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No · +$0 · May 22, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.