smalle · Polymarket wallet 0x4fab…6206

Wallet snapshot

smalle has made 90 trades on Polymarket across 33 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (46%) and crypto (12%). On 26 resolved markets the win rate is 73.1%, lifetime P&L +$894. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?". Last trade: May 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $1,017 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will the next elected US president be a woman?No · $181 · 78¢ → 71¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes · $9 · 19¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$32 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$22 · Jul 1, 2026
• SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes · +$4 · Jun 12, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No · +$8 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes · +$94 · May 31, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes · +$273 · May 31, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes · +$19 · May 6, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETNo · -$14 · May 5, 2026
• Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?No · -$1 · May 5, 2026
• Stripe IPO before 2027?No · +$4 · May 5, 2026

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